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AI & Data Science Preprint PDF DOI

PROMISE-AD: Progression-aware Multi-horizon Survival Estimation for Alzheimer's Disease Progression and Dynamic Tracking

Qing Lyu, Jeremy Hudson, Mohammad Kawas, Yuming Jiang, Chenyu You, Christopher T Whitlow · 2026

Individualized Alzheimer's disease (AD) progression prediction requires models that use irregular visits, account for censoring, avoid diagnostic leakage, and provide calibrated horizon risks. We prop…

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AI & Data Science Preprint PDF DOI

Anomaly Detection in Soil Heavy Metal Contamination Using Unsupervised Learning for Environmental Risk Assessment

Isaac Tettey Adjokatse, Samuel Senyo Koranteng, George Yamoah Afrifa, Theophilus Ansah-Narh, Marcellin Atemkeng, Joseph Bremang Tandoh, Kow Ahor Essel-Yorke, Richmond Opoku-Sarkodie, Rebecca Davis · 2026

Soil contamination by heavy metals poses a persistent environmental and public health concern in rapidly urbanising regions of Ghana, particularly at unregulated waste disposal sites. This study appli…

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Engineering Preprint PDF DOI

Risk Assessments for Evasive Emergency Maneuvers in Autonomous Vehicles

Aliasghar Arab, Milad Khaleghi, Koorosh Aslansefat · 2026

This paper presents a systematic verification and validation (V\&V) framework for the Evasive Minimum Risk Maneuver (EMRM) feature in autonomous vehicles, addressing a critical gap in existing safety …

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Mathematics Preprint PDF DOI

Stochastic Ordering of Dependent Systems under Transformation Models and Archimedean Copulas

Idir Arab, Milto Hadjikyriakou, Paulo Eduardo Oliveira · 2026

We study stochastic ordering of system lifetimes with dependent and heterogeneous components whose marginal distributions are obtained through transformations of a common baseline. The dependence stru…

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Computer Science Preprint PDF DOI

"The Worst Weather In America": Augmenting the Information Design of Extreme Cold Weather Forecasts

Michael Correll, Jay Broccolo, Drew Bush · 2026

Mount Washington is home to extreme, and extremely volatile, weather conditions. Consulting a weather forecast of conditions at the summit is vital for making one's visit as safe as possible. Using th…

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Mathematics Preprint PDF DOI

Terminal Defects, Growing Multiplicity, and Variance Extremality in the Double Dixie Cup Problem

Christopher D. Long · 2026

We develop a terminal-defect method for the double Dixie cup problem and use it to prove the finite-variance extremality conjecture of Doumas and Papanicolaou. For every \(m\ge1\) and \(N\ge2\), among…

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Physics Preprint PDF DOI

Solar Energetic Particle Reflection by Precursor ICMEs: Multi-spacecraft Observations of Bi-Directional Electron Beams at 1 AU

Lucas Liuzzo, Wenwen Wei, Andrew R. Poppe, Christina O. Lee, Vassilis Angelopoulos · 2026

We present case studies of two impulsive solar energetic electron (SEE) events during which particles at energies from 1-600 keV were detected by THEMIS-ARTEMIS orbiting the Moon, Wind at Earth's firs…

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AI & Data Science Preprint PDF DOI

Heterogeneous Variational Inference for Markov Degradation Hazard Models: Discretized Mixture with Interpretable Clusters

Takato Yasuno · 2026

Bayesian finite mixture models can identify discrete risk clusters (low-risk vs. high-risk equipment), but face three critical bottlenecks: (1) insufficient degradation signals from coarse state discr…

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Physics Preprint PDF DOI

Thermodynamic Parametrisation of the Vertebrate Lifetime Cycle Invariant: Biological Proper Time, Allometric Mass-Cancellation, and Clade-Specific Predictions

Mesfin Taye · 2026

Warm-blooded vertebrates accumulate approximately $\Nstar \approx 10^9$ cardiac cycles over a natural lifetime, a striking empirical regularity first quantified by Lindstedt and Calder yet lacking a p…

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AI & Data Science Preprint PDF DOI

A Milestone-Based Framework for Characterizing Time-Varying Treatment Effects in Immunotherapy Trials

Yi-Cheng Tai, Weijing Wang, Jedd D. Wolchok, Martin T. Wells · 2026

Immune checkpoint inhibitor--based therapies often produce heterogeneous survival responses, including early risk, delayed treatment benefit, and durable long-term survival in a subset of patients. In…

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AI & Data Science Preprint PDF DOI

IMPA-Net: Meteorology-Aware Multi-Scale Attention and Dynamic Loss for Extreme Convective Radar Nowcasting

Haofei Cui, Guangxin He, Juanzhen Sun, Jingjia Luo, Haonan Chen, Xiaoran Zhuang, Mingxuan Chen, Xian Xiao · 2026

Short-range prediction of convective precipitation from weather radar observations is essential for severe weather warnings. However, deep learning models trained with pixel-wise error metrics tend to…

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Mathematics Preprint PDF DOI

On Detecting $H$-Induced Minors for Small $H$

Tala Eagling-Vose, Barnaby Martin, Daniel Paulusma, Nicolas Trotignon · 2026

We consider the $H$-Induced Minor problem: for a fixed graph~$H$, decide whether a given graph $G$ contains $H$ as an induced minor. While the problem is known to be NP-complete for some trees~$H$ on …

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AI & Data Science Preprint PDF DOI

AMAVA: Adaptive Motion-Aware Video-to-Audio Framework for Visually-Impaired Assistance

Benjamin Klein, Kazi Ruslan Rahman, Sanchita Ghose · 2026

Navigational aids for blind and low vision individuals struggle conveying dynamic real-world environments, leading to cognitive overload from continuous, undifferentiated feedback. We present AMAVA, a…

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Physics Preprint PDF DOI

Renormalization-group improved Schwarzschild black hole: shadow, ringdown, and strong cosmic censorship

Ahmad Al-Badawi, Faizuddin Ahmed, Izzet Sakall{i} · 2026

We study a renormalization-group (RG) improved Schwarzschild-like black hole (BH) whose lapse interpolates between a classical Schwarzschild exterior and a quantum-smoothed interior governed by a cuto…

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AI & Data Science Preprint PDF DOI

Learn&Drop: Fast Learning of CNNs based on Layer Dropping

Giorgio Cruciata, Luca Cruciata, Liliana Lo Presti, Jan Van Gemert, Marco La Cascia · 2026

This paper proposes a new method to improve the training efficiency of deep convolutional neural networks. During training, the method evaluates scores to measure how much each layer's parameters chan…

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Economics & Finance Preprint PDF DOI

Multiplicative Contractions, Additive Recoveries: Functional-Form Restrictions on Risk Exposure Dynamics

Liang Chen · 2026

We test a regime-conditional functional-form restriction on aggregate risk-exposure dynamics implied by VaR-constrained intermediary models: exposures contract multiplicatively when capital constraint…

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Computer Science Preprint PDF DOI

Semantic Denial of Service in LLM-controlled robots

Jonathan Steinberg, Oren Gal · 2026

Safety-oriented instruction-following is supposed to keep LLM-controlled robots safe. We show it also creates an availability attack surface. By injecting short safety-plausible phrases (1-5 tokens) i…

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Engineering Preprint PDF DOI

Probabilistic Hazard Analysis Framework with Stochastic Optimal Control for Deteriorating Civil Infrastructure Systems

Sudhir P. Jodha, Konstantinos G. Papakonstantinou · 2026

The safety and resilience of civil infrastructure systems are increasingly threatened by compounded risks from various hazard events and structural deterioration due to environmental stressors. This s…

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Computer Science Preprint PDF DOI

FlashSpread: IO-Aware GPU Simulation of Non-Markovian Epidemic Dynamics via Kernel Fusion

Heman Shakeri, Behnaz Moradi-Jamei, Aram Vajdi, Ehsan Ardjmand · 2026

Non-Markovian (renewal) epidemic simulation on multi-million-node contact networks is essential for realistic forecasting under general age-dependent holding-time distributions (log-normal, Weibull, E…

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Computer Science Preprint PDF DOI

Compliance Moral Hazard and the Backfiring Mandate

Jian Ni, Lecheng Zheng, John R Birge · 2026

Competing firms that serve shared customer populations face a fundamental information aggregation problem: each firm holds fragmented signals about risky customers, but individual incentives impede ef…

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