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AI & Data Science Preprint PDF DOI

Political Bias Audits of LLMs Capture Sycophancy to the Inferred Auditor

Petter Tornberg, Michelle Schimmel · 2026

Large language models (LLMs) are commonly evaluated for political bias based on their responses to fixed questionnaires, which typically place frontier models on the political left. A parallel literat…

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AI & Data Science Preprint PDF DOI

ZAYAN: Disentangled Contrastive Transformer for Tabular Remote Sensing Data

Al Zadid Sultan Bin Habib, Tanpia Tasnim, Md. Ekramul Islam, Muntasir Tabasum · 2026

Learning informative representations from tabular data in remote sensing and environmental science is challenging due to heterogeneity, scarce labels, and redundancy among features. We present ZAYAN (…

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AI & Data Science Preprint PDF DOI

Decoding Scientific Experimental Images: The SPUR Benchmark for Perception, Understanding, and Reasoning

Junpeng Ding, Zichen Tang, Haihong E, Mengyuan Ji, Yang Liu, Haolin Tian, Haiyang Sun, Pengqi Sun, Yang Xu, Yichen Liu, Haocheng Gao, Zijie Xi, Ruomeng Jiang, Peizhi Zhao, Rongjin Li, Yuanze Li, Jiacheng Liu, Zhongjun Yang, Jintong Chen, Siying Lin · 2026

We introduce SPUR, a comprehensive benchmark for scientific experimental image perception, understanding, and reasoning, comprising 4,264 question-answering (QA) pairs derived from 1,084 expert-curate…

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Economics & Finance Preprint PDF DOI

Subsampling Under Two-way Clustering with Serial Correlation

Haonan Miao · 2026

We prove the validity of using subsampling method for inference under a two-way clustered panel in which the time effects are serially correlated. Subsamples should be drawn without replacement from r…

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Economics & Finance Preprint PDF DOI

Treatment-effect heterogeneity and interactive fixed effects: Can we control for too much?

Murilo Cardoso, Bruno Ferman, Marcelo Fernandes · 2026

This paper studies the interactive fixed effects (IFE) estimator in a panel-data setting with heterogeneous treatment effects. We show that, if the treatment-effect heterogeneity admits a linear facto…

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Economics & Finance Preprint PDF DOI

Bootstrap Inference in Nonlinear Panel Data Models with Interactive Fixed Effects

Haoyuan Xu, Wei Miao, Geert Dhaene, Jad Beyhum · 2026

The maximum likelihood estimator in nonlinear panel data models with interactive fixed effects is biased. Several bias correction methods, such as analytical and jackknife approaches, have been propos…

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Computer Science Preprint PDF DOI

I Would If I Could: Reasoning about Dynamics of Actions in Multi-Agent Systems

Rustam Galimullin, Hermine Grosinger, Munyque Mittelmann · 2026

Autonomous agents acting in realistic Multi-Agent Systems (MAS) should be able to adapt during their execution. Standard strategic logics, such as Alternating-time Temporal Logic (ATL), model agents' …

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Economics & Finance Preprint PDF DOI

Yau's Affine-Normal Descent for Large-Scale Unrestricted Higher-Moment Portfolio Optimization

Ya-Juan Wang, Yi-Shuai Niu, Artan Sheshmani, Shing-Tung Yau · 2026

Unrestricted mean-variance-skewness-kurtosis portfolio optimization can capture asymmetry and tail risk, but sample-moment formulations become computationally impractical when the asset universe is la…

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Economics & Finance Preprint PDF DOI

The Anatomy of a Decentralized Prediction Market: Microstructure Evidence from the Polymarket Order Book

Philipp D. Dubach · 2026

We study the microstructure of Polymarket, the largest on-chain prediction market, using a continuous tick-level archive of the public WebSocket order-book feed (30 billion events over 52 days) joined…

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AI & Data Science Preprint PDF DOI

SolarTformer: A Transformer Based Deep Learning Approach for Short Term Solar Power Forecasting

Ankan Basu, Jyotiraditya Roy, Aditya Datta, Prayas Sanyal, Sumanta Banerjee · 2026

Accurate forecasting of solar power output is essential for efficient integration of renewable energy into the grid. In this study, an attention-based deep learning model, inspired by transformer arch…

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Mathematics Preprint PDF DOI

$H^\infty$--functional calculus for generators of semigroups that admit lower bounds

Benhard H. Haak, Peer Chr. Kunstmann · 2026

We study $C_0$-semigroups on UMD Banach spaces under the assumption that a single semigroup operator admits a lower bound. We establish boundedness of $H^\infty$ functional calculi for the negative ge…

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AI & Data Science Preprint PDF DOI

SolarFCD: A Large-Scale Dataset and Benchmark for Solar Fault Classification in Photovoltaic Systems

Misbah Ijaz, Saif Ur Rehman Khan, Abd Ur Rehman, Arooj Zaib, Sebastian Vollmer, Andreas Dengel, Muhammad Nabeel Asim · 2026

The increasing global deployment of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems needs robust, scalable, and automated inspection technologies capable of detecting a wide range of panel flaws under a variety of op…

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AI & Data Science Preprint PDF DOI

AI Safety Training Can be Clinically Harmful

Suhas BN, Andrew M. Sherrill, Rosa I. Arriaga, Chris W. Wiese, Saeed Abdullah · 2026

Large language models are being deployed as mental health support agents at scale, yet only 16% of LLM-based chatbot interventions have undergone rigorous clinical efficacy testing, and simulations re…

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AI & Data Science Preprint PDF DOI

Towards Automated Ontology Generation from Unstructured Text: A Multi-Agent LLM Approach

Abid Talukder, Maruf Ahmed Mridul, Oshani Seneviratne · 2026

Automatically generating formal ontologies from unstructured natural language remains a central challenge in knowledge engineering. While large language models (LLMs) show promise, it remains unclear …

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Economics & Finance Preprint PDF DOI

Realized Regularized Regressions

Aleksey Kolokolov, Shifan Yu · 2026

We develop a continuous-time penalized regression framework for the estimation of time-varying coefficients and variable selection when both the response and covariates are It\^o semimartingales with …

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AI & Data Science Preprint PDF DOI

Forecasting Solar Energy Using a Single Image

Jeremy Klotz, Shree K. Nayar · 2026

Solar panels are increasingly deployed in cities on rooftops, walls, and urban infrastructure. Although the panel costs have fallen in recent years, the soft costs of installing them have not. These s…

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Economics & Finance Preprint PDF DOI

ChatGPT as a Time Capsule: The Limits of Price Discovery

Sebastian Lehner, Alejandro Lopez-Lira · 2026

Frozen large language model (LLM) checkpoints extract information from pre-cutoff public text that is associated with future fundamentals and equity returns beyond standard contemporaneous valuation m…

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Computer Science Preprint PDF DOI

TorchGWAS : GPU-accelerated GWAS for thousands of quantitative phenotypes

Xingzhong Zhao, Ziqian Xie, Islam, Sheikh Muhammad Saiful, Tian Xia, Chen, Cheng, Degui Zhi · 2026

Motivation: Modern bioinformatics workflows, particularly in imaging and representation learning, can generate thousands to tens of thousands of quantitative phenotypes from a single cohort. In such s…

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Earth & Environmental Sciences Preprint PDF DOI

Localized Tornado Outbreak at the Upstream of a Tropical Easterly Wave in Camarines Norte, Philippines (13 September 2025)

Generich H. Capuli · 2026

(Abridge) On 13 September 2025 around 22 UTC, a localized tornado outbreak affected eastern Philippines, causing significant damage in Camarines Norte. The event developed within an atypical easterly …

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Engineering Preprint PDF DOI

Predicting food taste with bound-driven optimization

Pagkratis Tagkopoulos, Dimitris Sfondilis, Ilias Tagkopoulos, Tarek Zohdi · 2026

The prediction of sensory attributes from ingredient-level formulations is an emerging challenge at the intersection of food science and artificial intelligence. We address the fundamental question of…

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